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BERLIN28 MAY 2012

shanghai | 第六日

Shaun Rein delivered some interesting insights on what the End of Cheap China means from brand perspective as well as spending habit of the Chinese middle and wealthy class.

The use of ‘hour glass shape’ analogy to describe Chinese spending trends is particularly refreshing. They are willing to spend a lot of money at the top of the hour glass when they see value which is why you see secretaries making $800 USD (RMB5,000) a month buying $1000 Gucci bags. But these same secretaries will shop at the bottom of the hour glass, and be very price sensitive, on product categories that they do not see as adding value, such as nail clippers. Brands that are either at the top of the value chain, or offer price sensitive options will do well. For the moment, brands that are in the middle of the hour glass, like a GAP or Marks & Spencer fail to do well. They are not cheap enough to appeal to price sensitive habits but do not offer enough value to consumers. More over, using –pardon the racist comment here– using black people in their ad campaign (GAP) or providing mostly size 12 and above for clothing lines (Mark & Spencer), are not something that Chinese aspire to see themselves in. 

In this case, I’d have to agree with Shaun that more middle brand positions will do better in the coming decades, but for the next three years that middle range will not do well.

More about the End of Cheap China from manufacturing point of view is thoughtfully written in The Economist’s latest edition here

I chose to skip the afternoon session by Dirk Lenowski and attending TED Shanghai instead. Turned out to be a good decision on my part. As luck would have it, this year TED was actually curated by TED organizer themselves, hence the reason why Chris Anderson was there. This year theme was focus on CHINA. 

Although TED brought wonderfully diverse group of speakers and performers, it was also subject to some mediocre contents. Here’s some that I found particularly inspiring and relevant to innovation and creativity in China that worth spreading:

More videos on TED Shanghai talks will be available online for free by end of June 2012. I had to admit that this year TED Shanghai delivered much superior quality in terms of content, diversity and quality of Speakers. I recalled my disappointment upon attending the first TED in Shanghai and Beijing. Not only was the event packed by foreigners but to add in salt to injury, they were presenting works that were far from relevant to China. 

However, I have yet to see when TED becomes less elitist and show more guts in showcasing contents that are not only provocative but also against populist mainstream.